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The modern global economy is a complex, interconnected web that thrives on stability and the predictable flow of commodities. A full-scale military confrontation between Iran, the United States, and Israel would not merely be a regional crisis; it would represent a "black swan" event capable of dismantling decades of global growth. Unlike previous localized wars, this conflict sits directly atop the world’s primary energy artery—the Persian Gulf. The immediate shock would be felt through a radical spike in energy prices, as the Strait of Hormuz—responsible for the passage of one-fifth of the world’s oil—becomes a theater of

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